Betting Star

SWP to be on the plane - 3/1

2010-06-01T13:41:00.001+01:00

waited 9 months for this.....drogba you beauty!

2010-05-14T14:14:00.001+01:00

2010-05-10T17:17:00.001+01:00

2010-03-25T13:17:00.001Z

2010-03-14T10:55:00.000Z

2010-02-03T21:36:00.000Z

2010-02-03T10:49:00.001Z

2010-01-19T21:41:00.001Z

2010-01-16T18:34:00.000Z

2010-01-04T09:08:00.002Z

XTA surpasses 52wk high

2009-11-16T12:38:00.002Z

2009-11-11T14:11:00.000Z

2009-11-09T21:51:00.000Z

2009-11-07T18:15:00.002Z

2009-11-04T15:51:00.001Z

Barclays loss sliced in half...

Barclays Fiasco

2009-11-03T11:47:00.004Z

Ive been putting this post off for over 10 days now, hoping Barclays would recover and i could forget that this ever happened.

Well it hasn't.

If 311p resistance is breached i can be found busking at Waterloo station. Please be generous.

xta 884 support level

2009-11-02T13:04:00.007Z

Similar entry point to Thursday 28th this morning - 884 holding firm.

Update: SOLD

2009-10-29T15:19:00.001Z

2009-10-26T16:28:00.001Z

2009-10-25T15:57:00.000Z

sold

2009-10-23T13:09:00.001+01:00

Rollercoaster day

2009-10-21T17:54:00.003+01:00

12:59

16:30

2009-10-16T13:30:00.001+01:00

2009-10-13T11:39:00.003+01:00

2009-10-11T23:15:00.001+01:00

2009-10-07T12:04:00.002+01:00

2009-10-06T15:52:00.000+01:00

2009-10-06T15:25:00.005+01:00

Pleasing Month

2009-08-21T21:52:00.000+01:00

First Ashes Test - Sofia Gardens

2009-07-13T11:04:00.001+01:00

Thanks to Colly & co managed to transform a all red book.

Balancing my porfolio

2009-05-15T13:25:00.004+01:00

Was previously too top heavy on UK Banks, sold BT & Barclays (prematurely at 220) to fund Standard Chartered & Xstrata a global mining group. After actively monitoring both stocks throughout the recent downturn, i managed to get in at the bottom of the cyclical cycle. Both stocks, especially Xstrata are undervalued in my opinion.

Xstrata - 1750 shares @ 499.68p
Standard Charterd - 1000 shares @ 914.97p

Fast forward 2 weeks both stocks have soared, current portfolio currently stands at:

Indian Premier League

2009-05-15T13:23:00.001+01:00

UK Banks

2009-03-26T11:00:00.002Z

Needed to free up some funds - kept my 11.7p RBS shares but offloaded 18p shares.

Betfair Casino

2009-03-20T00:37:00.003Z

The constant stream of income I have been providing Betfair on blackjack has been officially plugged.

South Africa vs. Australia

2009-03-20T00:29:00.004Z

Lack of discipline once again: dead rubber Australia already 2-0 up in the series but following cricinfo at work i decide to lay SA @ 1.6ish anticipating a couple of wickets in a tricky final hour.

6pm: Aus 210all out SA 59/0

SA 1.49

Needless to say traded out on day one.

Worldwide Centres of Innovation

2009-03-10T17:36:00.007Z

Conservative British values see London lagging behind more entrepreneurial cities...

Bendtner to be at Arsenal Next Season @ 2/1

2009-03-10T00:04:00.002Z

Christmas has come early! SkyBet are offering a staggering 2/1 that the Danish sensation remains at Arsenal next season. I would price this in the region of 1.4ish so this represents VALUE.

Forced to make a special exception to my staking plan for this bet - £155 staked.

Champions League | Last 16

2009-02-25T12:41:00.004Z

Arsenal defence has shored up in recent weeks with 5 clean sheets on the trot. The correct price should be around 2.2ish so at 2.5 this represents value.

New Innings Runs Strategy pt. II

2009-02-20T16:54:00.002Z

After 3 months of rigorous testing (both in the longer & shorter versions of the game) it is official: my innings runs strategy is akin to printing money.

Arsenal to finish in the Top 4 - 6/4 SkyBet

2009-02-18T12:21:00.003Z

2.2 to lay on the fair coupled with & a tricky run of fixtures coming up for Villa in the next 2 months and Eduardo, Arsharvin co. back for Arsenal - 2.5 represents value.

Villa Fixtures

Chelsea h
Stoke h
Man City a
Spurs h
Liverpool a
Man Utd a
Everton h

Chelsea vs. Arsenal | Correct Score Market

2008-11-30T18:13:00.003Z

1-2 19.5

New Innings Runs Market Strategy Paying Dividends

2008-11-17T00:35:00.006Z

Information on football markets is readily available reflecting in prices becoming more efficient, prices now reflect the relative risk endured - result in some 'correct' prices offered. Over the last week or so I have been perfecting my new cricket strategy with small stakes. The innings runs market is one where I believe i have more of an edge than other punters. The plan is to carry on experimenting before increasing my exposure and hopefully profit.

Premier League | Week 37

2008-05-02T18:27:00.001+01:00

Saturday, 03 May 2008
Barclays Premier League
Aston Villa v Wigan, 15:00
Blackburn v Derby, 15:00
Bolton v Sunderland, 17:15
Fulham v Birmingham, 15:00
Man Utd v West Ham, 12:45
Middlesbrough v Portsmouth, 15:00
Reading v Tottenham, 15:00

Sunday, 04 May 2008
Barclays Premier League
Arsenal v Everton, 13:30
Liverpool v Man City, 16:00

Monday, 05 May 2008
Barclays Premier League
Newcastle v Chelsea, 16:00

Premier League | Week 36

2008-04-24T14:29:00.013+01:00

Arsenal's visit to Pride Park: both sides have little to play for and its hard enough when both teams are going full tilt. No bet is the call here, keep the funds safe till Tuesday.

Forecasting matches towards the close of this season is easier said than done, motivation playing a big part – with ‘dead rubbers’ particularly difficult to predict. Because of this the games we will be focusing on today are:

Saturday, 26 April 2008
Barclays Premier League
Chelsea v Man Utd, 12:45
Man City v Fulham, 15:00

The premiership title could be decided tomorrow, as well as some relegation issues.

Chelsea v Man Utd is obviously the stand out tie: Chelsea are currently on the longest unbeaten sequence in the Premier League of 18, and on an phenomenal 80-match undefeated home league streak, stretching back four years and two months.

Both sides are in contention for a Premiership/European double, Ferguson will be certain to rest players against Chelsea given their must win game against Barcelona on Tuesday. Avoiding defeat at Stamford Bridge will all but seal the title for united; Ferguson’s tactics will no doubt reflect this. Chelsea on the other hand are coming into this game on the back of a great result at Anfield with one leg already in the final. Given Chelsea’s home record and a small distraction in the form of Barcelona, I will side with a:

Chelsea win @ 8/5 (Betfair) | won

Although Man City have nothing to play, Thaksin Shinawatras comments will provide more than enough incentive to ensure Sven gets a result against Fulham. Fulham wont go down without a fight as a win gives them a slim hope of surviving relegation, but I expect its all too late and I would like to think City will be able to reign. Despite a recent victory at the Madjeski Stadium, Fulham have been woeful away from home:

Man City win @ 5/6 (Bet365) | lost

UEFA Champions League | Semi-Final 1st Leg

2008-04-20T19:33:00.038+01:00

Tuesday, 22 April 2008
UEFA Champions League
Liverpool v Chelsea, SF, L1, 19:45

Draw @ 21/10 (VC Bet) | won
Under 1.5 goals @ 8/5 (Betfair) | lost

Like most first legs of European ties between two evenly matched sides, particularly when the two sides are relatively unadventurous, the aim is often not to lose rather than to win. Neither manager will be happy if his team conceded early, and the longer the game goes goalless the less desire there will be to take risks. Expect this game to be cagey and low scoring, as the last meeting between Liverpool and Chelsea to have more than two goals was the Community Shield in August 2006, eight matches ago.

Wednesday, 23 April 2008
UEFA Champions League
Barcelona v Man Utd, SF, L1, 19:45 | Barcelona to qualify @ 13/8

This is an extremely difficult tie to call given Barcelona’s indifferent form in recent weeks, goalless draws at home to Getafe and Espanyol respectively dropped the Catalan giants into third place – 9 points off leaders Real Madrid. Combined with a shock exit in the semi-finals of the Copa Del Rey to

Valencia

, manager Rijkaard is under pressure to deliver against United.

Despite not firing on all cylinders domestically, in Europe they have won all five of their home ties this season including a convincing 3-0 win against Lyon.

Similarly Manchester United’s domestic form has been very ordinary of late. Draws against Middlesbrough and Blackburn Rovers have given Chelsea a sniff in the title race. This combined with an undeserved victory over Arsenal despite being outplayed for long periods, will give Barcelona confidence.

Like their illustrious opponents, United have an impressive record in Europe this season, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their previous 5 matches. In spite of this Ferguson has an abysmal away record in the knockout stages over the past 5 seasons: W2 D1 L5, proving to be tactically inept on a number of occasions despite a continuous spending spree in an attempt to rectify this problem. Comparing this with Barcelona’s fantastic record in the knockout stages over the last 5 seasons: W4 D3 L1, I am siding with Barcelona given their excellent home record in this competition.

Messi to score more goals than Ronaldo across the two legs 6/4 @ Paddy Power

Paddy Power are taking bets on a special market entitled 'Ronaldo v Messi', where the Portuguese winger is favourite to outscore his Argentinian counterpart. For those who agree with the notion that Cristiano Ronaldo is vastly overrated, especially by those who consider him the best player in the world, this bet holds good value. Remember last season when he was supposed to steal the show against Milan, and reality was outshone by Kaka, the actual best player in the world? It is more probable that Zambrotta will take care of Ronaldo, than Wes Brown taking care of Messi.

N.B: Should both players score equal number of goals, the bet will be void and Paddy Power will refund all stakes on the event.

Premier League | Week 35

2008-04-18T03:38:00.026+01:00

Saturday, 19 April 2008
Barclays Premier League

Arsenal v Reading, 12:45 | Arsenal -1.5 asian handicaps @ evens | won
Pressure off Arsenal now, can see them playing with freedom and winning by two clear.

Fulham v Liverpool, 15:00 | Draw @ 9/4 | lost
Rafa sure to rest players for CL semi-final, forth place all but guaranteed. Fulham fighting for survial.

Middlesbrough v Bolton, 15:00 | Middlesborough @ 11/10 | lost
Boro's resurgence under Southgate continues, good home record. Lack of firepower for Bolton upfront.

West Ham v Derby, 15:00 | Over 2.5 goals @ 10/11| won
Hammers injury hit season continues- Curbishleys job on the line, will be damage limitation for Derby.

Wigan v Tottenham, 15:00 | Draw @ 12/5 | won
Spurs already on summer holidays, Wigan almost safe after point at the bridge.

Blackburn v Man Utd, 17:15 | Over 2.5 goals @ 11/10 | lost
United's last four games have all been overs, can see Rovers scoring.

Sunday, 20 April 2008
Barclays Premier League

Aston Villa v Birmingham, 12:00 | Aston Villa halftime/fulltime @ 2/1 and over 2.5 @ 11/8 | won
The Villians have scored 14 goals in their last 3 games, expecting them to come out of the traps fast against a Birmingham side who have conceded 8 in the last 3 aways games.

Newcastle v Sunderland, 13:30 | Over 2.5 @ 6/5 | lost
Keegan's knows only one way to play and that is attack, Newcastle have been scoring freely of late. Last game between the two at St. James was a 5 goal thriller. Expect at least 3 here.

Man City v Portsmouth, 16:00 | Draw @ 9/4 | lost
Difficult tie to predict, City have failed to build on a start which promised so much while Portsmouth will no doubt have one eye on the FA Cup final.

World Snooker Championships

2008-04-18T03:29:00.018+01:00

Ding Junhui to win the World Championsips @ 14/1 (Paddy Power)

Paddy Power are offering an amazingly generous 14/1 on Ding Junhui to win the World Snooker Championships 2008. However, it would be wise not to back the Chinese wonder boy just yet. In order to get maximum value, bet on Ding at close of play on Monday evening, as he opens his campaign on Tuesday morning.

Granted Ding has one of the toughest draws a seed could have had in the opening round this year in Marco Fu, who of course is more than capable of producing what would not be the greatest of upsets. But Ding is the better player of the two, and if he manages to win as expected, he may only be on single figure odds as he enters the last sixteen.

Now there are some big names in his half of the draw, namely John Higgins, Steven Hendry, Mark Williams, and not to mention, the Rocket Ronnie O'Sullivan, but how many of them are in good form? Ding has what it takes to defeat all of these potential opponents, and will be favourite in each match until at least the semi-finals where he is due to face Ronnie.

Do not stake your whole account on Ding, just bet enough to make a very good profit should he win, but no more than what would be an insignificant loss should he fail.