Pleasing Month

First Ashes Test - Sofia Gardens

Thanks to Colly & co managed to transform a all red book.

Balancing my porfolio

Was previously too top heavy on UK Banks, sold BT & Barclays (prematurely at 220) to fund Standard Chartered & Xstrata a global mining group. After actively monitoring both stocks throughout the recent downturn, i managed to get in at the bottom of the cyclical cycle. Both stocks, especially Xstrata are undervalued in my opinion.



Xstrata - 1750 shares @ 499.68p
Standard Charterd - 1000 shares @ 914.97p

Fast forward 2 weeks both stocks have soared, current portfolio currently stands at:

Indian Premier League

UK Banks

Needed to free up some funds - kept my 11.7p RBS shares but offloaded 18p shares.

Betfair Casino

The constant stream of income I have been providing Betfair on blackjack has been officially plugged.

South Africa vs. Australia

Lack of discipline once again: dead rubber Australia already 2-0 up in the series but following cricinfo at work i decide to lay SA @ 1.6ish anticipating a couple of wickets in a tricky final hour.

6pm: Aus 210all out SA 59/0

SA 1.49

Needless to say traded out on day one.

Worldwide Centres of Innovation

Conservative British values see London lagging behind more entrepreneurial cities...

Bendtner to be at Arsenal Next Season @ 2/1

Christmas has come early! SkyBet are offering a staggering 2/1 that the Danish sensation remains at Arsenal next season. I would price this in the region of 1.4ish so this represents VALUE.



Forced to make a special exception to my staking plan for this bet - £155 staked.

Champions League | Last 16

Arsenal defence has shored up in recent weeks with 5 clean sheets on the trot. The correct price should be around 2.2ish so at 2.5 this represents value.

New Innings Runs Strategy pt. II

After 3 months of rigorous testing (both in the longer & shorter versions of the game) it is official: my innings runs strategy is akin to printing money.

Arsenal to finish in the Top 4 - 6/4 SkyBet

2.2 to lay on the fair coupled with & a tricky run of fixtures coming up for Villa in the next 2 months and Eduardo, Arsharvin co. back for Arsenal - 2.5 represents value.

Villa Fixtures

Chelsea h
Stoke h
Man City a
Spurs h
Liverpool a
Man Utd a
Everton h

Chelsea vs. Arsenal | Correct Score Market

1-2 19.5

New Innings Runs Market Strategy Paying Dividends

Information on football markets is readily available reflecting in prices becoming more efficient, prices now reflect the relative risk endured - result in some 'correct' prices offered. Over the last week or so I have been perfecting my new cricket strategy with small stakes. The innings runs market is one where I believe i have more of an edge than other punters. The plan is to carry on experimenting before increasing my exposure and hopefully profit.

Premier League | Week 37

Saturday, 03 May 2008
Barclays Premier League
Aston Villa v Wigan, 15:00
Blackburn v Derby, 15:00
Bolton v Sunderland, 17:15
Fulham v Birmingham, 15:00
Man Utd v West Ham, 12:45
Middlesbrough v Portsmouth, 15:00
Reading v Tottenham, 15:00

Sunday, 04 May 2008
Barclays Premier League
Arsenal v Everton, 13:30
Liverpool v Man City, 16:00

Monday, 05 May 2008
Barclays Premier League
Newcastle v Chelsea, 16:00